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Measuring Exchange Rate, Price, and Output Dynamics at the Effective Lower Bound

Auteur(s)
Kaufmann, Daniel 
Institut de recherches économiques 
Bäurle, Gregor
Date de parution
2018-10-4
In
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Vol.
6
No
80
De la page
1243
A la page
1266
Revu par les pairs
1
Mots-clés
  • Effective lower bound on short-term interest rates
  • Nonconventional monetary policy
  • Exchange rate targets
  • Bayesian SVAR
  • Effective lower bound...

  • Nonconventional monet...

  • Exchange rate targets...

  • Bayesian SVAR

Résumé
New Keynesian models with sticky prices make stark predictions about how the economy responds to shocks under different monetary policy regimes when short-term interest rates are constrained by an effective lower bound. We use the Swiss case as a laboratory to find evidence in favour of these predictions. We propose a Bayesian VAR to estimate impulse responses to risk shocks for short periods with a binding effective lower bound and with a publicly announced minimum exchange rate. In line with predictions from theory, we find that with a binding effective lower bound, the responses of the exchange rate, prices, and output become more persistent. However, the minimum exchange rate attenuates this adverse impact.
Identifiants
https://libra.unine.ch/handle/123456789/28010
_
10.1111/obes.12260
Type de publication
journal article
Dossier(s) à télécharger
 main article: 2020-06-04_2768_9084.pdf (377 KB)
 main article: 2020-06-04_2768_4647.pdf (547.67 KB)
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