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Land-use trajectories for sustainable land system transformations: Identifying leverage points in a global biodiversity hotspot
Auteur(s)
Dominic Andreas Martin
Fanilo Andrianisaina
Thio Rosin Fulgence
Kristina Osen
Anjaharinony Andry Ny Aina Rakotomalala
Estelle Raveloaritiana
Marie Rolande Soazafy
Annemarie Wurz
Rouvah Andriafanomezantsoa
Harilala Andriamaniraka
Aristide Andrianarimisa
Jan Barkmann
Saskia Dröge
Ingo Grass
Nathaly Guerrero-Ramirez
Hendrik Hänke
Dirk Hölscher
Bakolimalala Rakouth
Hery Lisy Tiana Ranarijaona
Romual Randriamanantena
Fanomezana Mihaja Ratsoavina
Lala Harivelo Raveloson Ravaomanarivo
Dominik Schwab
Teja Tscharntke
Holger Kreft
Date de parution
2022
In
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Vol.
119
No
7
De la page
1
A la page
9
Résumé
Finding entry points where policy has strong leverage to transform land systems for people and nature is pivotal. We develop an innovative framework to identify and evaluate such leverage points along land-use trajectories that account for path dependency. Applied to the biodiversity hotspot Madagascar, the framework reveals three leverage points: Two leverage points are associated with trade-offs between biodiversity, ecosystem services, and agricultural productivity, while the third entails cobenefits. Swift policy action is required, as path dependency caused by forest loss may soon put two leverage points out of reach. We argue that such closing windows of opportunity may be common, but often overlooked, calling for a wider consideration of path dependency in land-system science.
Identifiants
Type de publication
journal article