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  4. A Global Compass for the Great Divergence: Emissions vs. Production Centers of Gravity 1820‐2008
 
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A Global Compass for the Great Divergence: Emissions vs. Production Centers of Gravity 1820‐2008

Auteur(s)
Sauter, Caspar 
Institut de recherches économiques 
Grether, Jean-marie 
Institut de recherches économiques 
Mathys, Nicole 
Institut de recherches économiques 
Date de parution
2019-10-15
In
The World Economy
Vol.
10
No
42
De la page
2818
A la page
2834
Revu par les pairs
1
Mots-clés
  • center of gravity
  • growth
  • CO2 emissions
  • GDP
  • population
  • great divergence
  • center of gravity

  • growth

  • CO2 emissions

  • GDP

  • population

  • great divergence

Résumé
We construct the world's centers of gravity for human population, GDP and CO2 emissions by taking the best out of five recognized data sources covering the last two centuries. On the basis of a novel distorsion‐free representation of these centers of gravity, we find a radical Western shift of GDP and CO2 emissions centers in the 19th century, in sharp contrast with the stability of the demographic center of gravity. Both GDP and emissions trends are reversed in the first half of the 20th century, after World War I for CO2 emissions, after World War II for GDP. Since then, both centers are moving eastward at an accelerating speed. These patterns are perfectly consistent with the lead of Western countries starting the industrial revolution, the gradual replacement of coal by oil and gas as alternative sources of energy, and the progressive catch up of Asian countries in the recent past.
Identifiants
https://libra.unine.ch/handle/123456789/28080
_
10.1111/twec.12860
Type de publication
journal article
Dossier(s) à télécharger
 main article: 2020-02-15_908_6208.pdf (1.64 MB)
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