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  4. If you knew there was a 79% bankruptcy risk by expanding your operations capacity, would you still try?
 
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If you knew there was a 79% bankruptcy risk by expanding your operations capacity, would you still try?

Auteur(s)
Schwab, Leila 
Institut de management 
Gold, Stefan 
Institut de management 
Reiner, Gerald 
Institut de management 
Date de parution
2017-7-2
Mots-clés
  • Business growth
  • Agent-based simulation
  • System-dynamics
  • Business growth

  • Agent-based simulatio...

  • System-dynamics

Résumé
The research aims at evaluating the risk taken by a growing company when it expands its operations capacity. Previous research has shown that effective decision-making process is key and its facilitation is a major purpose in operations management. A multi-method model is developed to simulate a growth phase and respective decision-making processes. Its calibration is achieved through empirical data of a Swiss family-owned wood construction company; then a compare runs analysis is conducted. Results show that more than 80% of runs, interestingly, lead the company to bankruptcy, which helps managers and counsellors to evaluate growth risks adequately.
Notes
, 2017
Nom de l'événement
EurOMA
Lieu
Edinburgh, Scotland
Identifiants
https://libra.unine.ch/handle/123456789/26398
Type de publication
conference paper
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