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Kaufmann, Daniel
Nom
Kaufmann, Daniel
Affiliation principale
Site web
Fonction
Professeur ordinaire
Email
daniel.kaufmann@unine.ch
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- PublicationAccès libreA daily fever curve for the Swiss economy(2020-7-9)
; Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving COVID-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be computed with a delay of 1 day. Moreover, it is highly correlated with macroeconomic data and survey indicators of Swiss economic activity. Therefore, it provides timely and reliable warning signals if the health of the economy takes a turn for the worse. - PublicationAccès libreA daily fever curve for the Swiss economy(Neuchâtel Université de Neuchâtel Institut de recherches économiques, 2020)
; Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving Covid-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be computed with a delay of one day. Moreover, it is highly correlated with macroeconomic data and survey indicators of Swiss economic activity. Therefore, it provides timely and reliable warning signals if the health of the economy takes a turn for the worse.