Fully flexible extreme views
Author(s)
Date issued
2011
In
Journal of Risk
Vol
2
No
14
From page
39
To page
49
Reviewed by peer
1
Subjects
Entropy Pooling Kullback-Leibler Black-Litterman VaR CVaR grid-probability pair Monte Carlo Gauss-Hermite polynomials Newton-Raphson kernel estimator
Abstract
We extend the entropy pooling generalization of the Black-Litterman approach to effectively handle extreme views on the tails of a distribution. First, we provide a recursive algorithm to process views on conditional value-at-risk which cannot be handled directly by the original implementation of entropy pooling. Second, we represent both the prior and the posterior distribution on a grid instead of using Monte Carlo scenarios. This way it becomes possible to parsimoniously cover even the far tails of the underlying distribution. Documented code is available to download.
Later version
http://www.risk.net/journal-of-risk/technical-paper/2161037/fully-flexible-extreme-views
Publication type
journal article
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